Next Haslab...

[lejackal]

What about the lightsaber? Where did that stand?

 

[monkey_roo]

No idea - forgot all about that one

 

[lejackal]

Hardly surprising

 

[Mini99]

This may interest some of you…
This was on a FB page and shows the past Haslab projects and how they tracked, he has calculated (using trends and historical data ) that the Gunship will reach just short of 12,000 backers when it closes.
It will be interesting to see if he's right.

 

[monkey_roo]

It is interesting, but I think flawed. They need to have the Rancor in there to see what happens when people begin to withdraw their support (which will happen if people think it is going to fail or not unlock the tiers they want etc.). I can't remember when the others crossed the baseline - but I think it was well before the end date and once over more people piled in. In this model it won't get base funding until 24hrs before the end, not long enough to get much more support, also if it goes that close to the wire, I think people may pull out because they don't want to spend the money and not get everything.

Whatever happens this is a poor performing fund (I have now fully decided to leave it alone...).

 

[lejackal]

The model is based on ships (and a play set), it excludes two failures, thus is flawed.

 

[lejackal]

The model is based on ships (and a play set), it excludes two failures, thus is flawed.

and the Barge (which is itself an bit of an anomaly as the initial unknown)

 

[lejackal]

I bet 6400-7400 backers

 

[Mini99]

I think it will get the 8,000 it needs but no more tiers.
Say 8,496