Next Haslab...

[lejackal]

What about the lightsaber? Where did that stand?

 

[monkey_roo]

No idea - forgot all about that one

 

[lejackal]

Hardly surprising

 

[Mini99]

This may interest some of you…
This was on a FB page and shows the past Haslab projects and how they tracked, he has calculated (using trends and historical data ) that the Gunship will reach just short of 12,000 backers when it closes.
It will be interesting to see if he's right.

 

[monkey_roo]

It is interesting, but I think flawed. They need to have the Rancor in there to see what happens when people begin to withdraw their support (which will happen if people think it is going to fail or not unlock the tiers they want etc.). I can't remember when the others crossed the baseline - but I think it was well before the end date and once over more people piled in. In this model it won't get base funding until 24hrs before the end, not long enough to get much more support, also if it goes that close to the wire, I think people may pull out because they don't want to spend the money and not get everything.

Whatever happens this is a poor performing fund (I have now fully decided to leave it alone...).

 

[lejackal]

The model is based on ships (and a play set), it excludes two failures, thus is flawed.

 

[lejackal]

The model is based on ships (and a play set), it excludes two failures, thus is flawed.

and the Barge (which is itself an bit of an anomaly as the initial unknown)

 

[lejackal]

I bet 6400-7400 backers

 

[Mini99]

I think it will get the 8,000 it needs but no more tiers.
Say 8,496

 

[monkey_roo]

I'm going to say it falls shot 7,600

 

[monkey_roo]

Someone created this view which does include the Rancor and you can see how badly the LAAT is doing.

 

[theforceuk]

This video is interesting.

 

[Snaketibe]

It's not a fair comparison to include the Khetanna when comparing Haslab projects and how many backers they had as at day 'X'. What everyone seems to be forgetting is that the Khetanna was the first and only Haslab project that was only available in North America. You couldn't back the project from Europe or anywhere else outside of the USA and (I think) Canada. I certainly couldn't back it from here in the UK, and hence I had to ask a friend of a friend to back it for me in America, and very kindly they did. Had it been available for backing worldwide, I'm sure its day 'X' numbers would look far healthier.

As for the Gunship and whether it will be backed, I said before that I think it will probably reach its target (just), and I think I still agree with that. However, I have also seen people withdraw their backing for the project already (I check the backing count several times daily and have seen it go backwards), so if it gets close to the deadline and people don't think the tiers they want will be unlocked even if it does get funded, I can see a fair few people pulling out.

Whatever the final backing figure, I think it will be close to not getting funded and I will be surprised if any of the tiers get unlocked.

 

[theforceuk]

It's certainly touch and go, hard to say, but if I had to bet everything on it I would say it won't get backed.

They should have done an Andor Tie-Intercepter as the next Haslab. Strike while the iron is hot!

 

[monkey_roo]

this could well be the lego shaped nail in the LAAT sized coffin... These are all big (very big) ticket items and realistically folks may be picking between them (for one I will be saving up for the Death Star ). Could be a case of bad timing for Hasbro (or poor planning since the Lego set has been widely reported as coming in Sep/Oct for about a year now).